Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
