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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
The New York Stadium
Burton Albion

Rotherham
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Ladapo (24', 48'), Barlaser (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rotherham United 2-0 Burton Albion

Given their superb form this season, it is hard to see this encounter ending in anything but a home win, and we expect the Millers to clinch their fourth successive home league victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurton Albion
60.61%22.04%17.35%
Both teams to score 50.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42%47.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.78%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.76%15.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.08%43.92%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04%40.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48%77.52%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 60.6%
    Burton Albion 17.35%
    Draw 22.04%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 6.18%
4-0 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.23%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 60.6%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.57%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 17.35%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Burton Albion

Rotherham United
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Rotherham
3-2
Burton Albion
Smith (9', 46'), Ladapo (71')
Ladapo (93')
Murphy (7'), Sarkic (47')
Sarkic (32')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Dec 29, 2016 7.45pm
Rotherham
1-2
Burton Albion
Adeyemi (45')
Frecklington (33'), Ward (88'), Fisher (95')
O'Grady (36'), Irvine (41')
McFadzean (13'), Palmer (75'), McCrory (77'), Barker (91')
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Feb 9, 2013 3pm
Burton Albion
2-0
Rotherham
Kee (36', 55')

Noble (41')
Noble (45'), O'Connor (87')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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