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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Gillingham |
66.22% | 20.57% | 13.21% |
Both teams to score 45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.79% | 49.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.73% | 71.27% |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% | 14.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% | 41.54% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.33% | 47.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.01% | 82.99% |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 12.9% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 6.26% 4-0 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.32% 5-0 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.39% Total : 66.22% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.95% 1-2 @ 3.6% 0-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.83% Total : 13.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |