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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
37.82% (![]() | 26.25% (![]() | 35.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% (![]() | 51.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.91% (![]() | 73.09% (![]() |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% (![]() | 26.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% (![]() | 61.55% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% (![]() | 27.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% (![]() | 62.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.66% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 12.48% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.37% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 79 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 62 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 60 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 58 |
8 | Reading | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 55 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 53 |
10 | Barnsley | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Blackpool | 35 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 48 |
12 | Stevenage | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 46 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 43 |
16 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 41 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 41 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 40 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 39 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
21 | Burton Albion | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 33 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |