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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Plymouth

Paterson (7')
Byers (45+2'), Paterson (54'), Vaulks (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Edwards (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

 Both sides boast plenty of quality and find themselves in impressive runs of form, and they will also be keen to avoid a defeat which could be particularly harmful to their automatic promotion bid, leading us to see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
64.37% (-1.815 -1.82) 20.58% (0.904 0.9) 15.04% (0.91 0.91)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-0.668 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (-2.089 -2.09)45.5% (2.088 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (-2.023 -2.02)67.83% (2.023 2.02)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (-1.158 -1.16)13.4% (1.156 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.66% (-2.378 -2.38)40.34% (2.378 2.38)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)42.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 64.36%
    Plymouth Argyle 15.04%
    Draw 20.58%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.74% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.347 -0.35)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.443 0.44)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.495 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.04%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Plymouth

Sheffield Wednesday
54.2%
Draw
25.0%
Plymouth Argyle
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-1
Sheff Weds
Hardie (3'), Cosgrove (90+1')
Edwards (41')
Palmer (7')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Sheff Weds
4-2
Plymouth
Sow (19'), Mendez-Laing (40'), Hutchinson (79'), Windass (84')
Luongo (56'), Hunt (88')
Randell (47'), Johnson (83' og.)
Broom (90+6')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Garrick (20', 67'), Hardie (36')

Brown (56'), Wildsmith (68')
Nov 7, 2021 12.15pm
First Round
Sheff Weds
0-0
Plymouth

Adeniran (47'), Wing (71')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Sheff Weds
Edwards (7'), Scarr (40'), Law (90+7')
Houghton (80')

Hutchinson (25'), Byers (40'), Sow (55'), Gregory (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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