The Match
Match Report
Sheffield Wednesday record the upset of the FA Cup third round, recording a 2-1 victory over Newcastle United at Hillsborough on Saturday evening.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-0 Cambridge
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Newcastle United |
46.1% ( 0.02) | 24.17% ( -0) | 29.73% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.06% ( -0) | 43.93% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% ( -0) | 66.32% ( 0) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% ( 0.01) | 19.21% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.09% ( 0.01) | 50.91% ( -0.01) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.17% ( -0.01) | 27.83% ( 0.01) |