League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
0 - 0
Plymouth

Dadi Bodvarsson (70')

Edwards (70'), Wilson (70'), Cooper (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Bolton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 MK Dons
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

This is set to be a very close and intense game between two of the strongest teams in the division that are both in great form. However, as the current league leaders Plymouth Argyle will be considered the favourites and should just have enough quality to edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
53.79% ( -0.01)	23.57% ( -0.03)	22.64% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.67% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

0.2)

46.99% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.77% (

0.18)

69.23% (

-0.18)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61% (

0.07)

17.39% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.19% (

0.12)

47.8% (

-0.12)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

0.15)

35.03% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.22% (

0.16)

71.78% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 53.79%

Plymouth Argyle 22.64%

Draw 23.56%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.79%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 22.64%