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League One | Gameweek 38
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bolton
0 - 0
Plymouth

FT

Edwards (70'), Wilson (70'), Cooper (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

This is set to be a very close and intense game between two of the strongest teams in the division that are both in great form. However, as the current league leaders Plymouth Argyle will be considered the favourites and should just have enough quality to edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
53.79% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 23.57% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 22.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01% (0.198 0.2)46.99% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77% (0.184 0.18)69.23% (-0.182 -0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (0.070999999999998 0.07)17.39% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (0.12 0.12)47.8% (-0.119 -0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (0.15300000000001 0.15)35.03% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (0.162 0.16)71.78% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.79%
    Plymouth Argyle 22.64%
    Draw 23.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.86% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.64%

How you voted: Bolton vs Plymouth

Bolton Wanderers
30.4%
Draw
21.7%
Plymouth Argyle
47.8%
23
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Bolton
Ennis (34'), Hardie (88')
Ennis (40'), Edwards (53')

Bradley (65')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Plymouth
3-0
Bolton
Galloway (6'), Grant (15'), Broom (90+4')
Galloway (90+1')

Bakayoko (12'), Afolayan (50'), Lee (54')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Bolton
0-1
Plymouth

Murphy (31')
McFadzean (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cardinals
9-13
Rams
6pm
Jets
@
Bills
6pm
Panthers
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Colts
@
Giants
6pm
Titans
@
Jags
6pm
Raiders
@
Saints
9.25pm
Packers
@
Vikings
9.05pm
Dolphins
@
Browns
6pm
Cowboys
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham20153237162148
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
3Wrexham22136333151845
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield21133535181742
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2110473431334
7Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
8Barnsley229673131033
9Mansfield TownMansfield209472622431
10Lincoln CityLincoln228772826231
11Bolton WanderersBolton209472931-231
12Exeter CityExeter219392223-130
13Leyton Orient218492620628
14Wigan AthleticWigan217682018227
15Blackpool217683033-327
16Stevenage207581520-526
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2173113840-224
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
19Bristol Rovers2164111932-1322
20Northampton TownNorthampton2256112238-1621
21Crawley TownCrawley2154122036-1619
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2145122137-1617
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2143142241-1915
24Burton Albion2126131734-1712


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