League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Ipswich1 - 1Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 4-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Ipswich Town 0-0 Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth drew their last League One away game 0-0 against fifth-placed Bolton Wanderers, and so a similar result should be expected on Saturday, with very little separating the two teams. That result is likely to suit the visitors far more than the hosts, as it would maintain Argyle's seven-point lead over Ipswich, setting them up nicely for an easier game at home to Cheltenham next weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.24% ( 0.19) | 19.51% ( -0.08) | 13.25% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( 0.09) | 44.62% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( 0.08) | 66.99% ( -0.09) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.69% ( 0.08) | 12.31% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.91% ( 0.17) | 38.09% ( -0.17) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.25% ( -0.13) | 44.75% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.26% ( -0.1) | 80.73% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town 67.22%
Plymouth Argyle 13.25%
Draw 19.51%
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 67.22% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.51% | 0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.25% |
How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth
Ipswich Town
37.5%Draw
18.8%Plymouth Argyle
43.8%32
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
