Plymouth drew their last League One away game 0-0 against fifth-placed Bolton Wanderers, and so a similar result should be expected on Saturday, with very little separating the two teams.
That result is likely to suit the visitors far more than the hosts, as it would maintain Argyle's seven-point lead over Ipswich, setting them up nicely for an easier game at home to Cheltenham next weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.19) 
-0.08) 
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