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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Long (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whittaker (78')
Lonwijk (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

With both sides in patchy form, it is difficult to call this encounter with much conviction, but ultimately, the quality of the league leaders should tell. Plymouth have suffered with defensive injuries of late, so we can see the home side getting on the scoresheet, but the firepower of the division's top scorers should prove too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.06% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 25.37% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.57% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)47.94% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)70.12% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)27.64% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-0.124 -0.12)63.18% (0.123 0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)56.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.06%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.57%
    Draw 25.37%
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.57%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Plymouth

Cheltenham Town
13.6%
Draw
13.6%
Plymouth Argyle
72.7%
22
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Cheltenham
Varney (40'), Aimson (91' og.)
Doyle-Hayes (18'), Varney (50'), Raglan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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