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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Long (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whittaker (78')
Lonwijk (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 4-0 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 AFC Wimbledon (3-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

 With both sides in patchy form, it is difficult to call this encounter with much conviction, but ultimately, the quality of the league leaders should tell. Plymouth have suffered with defensive injuries of late, so we can see the home side getting on the scoresheet, but the firepower of the division's top scorers should prove too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.06% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 25.37% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.57% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)47.94% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)70.12% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)27.64% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (-0.124 -0.12)63.18% (0.123 0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)56.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.06%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.57%
    Draw 25.37%
Cheltenham TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.57%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Plymouth

Cheltenham Town
13.6%
Draw
13.6%
Plymouth Argyle
72.7%
22
Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-0
Cheltenham
Ennis (14'), Mayor (42')

Colkett (90')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
0-2
Plymouth

Crowley (82')
Camara (42'), Garrick (75')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Cheltenham
0-1
Plymouth
Rudden (33')
Sawyer (45')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
0-2
Cheltenham
Varney (40'), Aimson (91' og.)
Doyle-Hayes (18'), Varney (50'), Raglan (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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