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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
33.06% ( -0.09) | 25.37% ( 0.01) | 41.57% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.06% ( -0.08) | 47.94% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.88% ( -0.07) | 70.12% ( 0.07) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.36% ( -0.1) | 27.64% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.82% ( -0.12) | 63.18% ( 0.12) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% ( 0.01) | 22.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.29% ( 0.01) | 56.71% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.06% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |