Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.