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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
65.02% ( -0.02) | 20.24% ( -0.02) | 14.73% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% ( 0.16) | 44.66% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% ( 0.15) | 67.02% ( -0.15) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.05% ( 0.04) | 12.95% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.58% ( 0.09) | 39.42% ( -0.09) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.4% ( 0.15) | 42.6% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.05% ( 0.13) | 78.95% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 65.01% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |