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Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Cheltenham Town

Plymouth
4 - 2
Cheltenham

Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Perry (40'), May (70')
Bonds (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Derby
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Cheltenham Town

 Plymouth will be desperate to return to winning ways sooner rather than later and will likely see Saturday as a great opportunity to do so on home turf. With home advantage and quality all over the pitch, we back the league leaders to come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
65.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 14.73% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.15900000000001 0.16)44.66% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.153 0.15)67.02% (-0.152 -0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.043000000000006 0.04)12.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.087000000000003 0.09)39.42% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (0.152 0.15)42.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (0.128 0.13)78.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 65.01%
    Cheltenham Town 14.73%
    Draw 20.24%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 65.01%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cheltenham

Plymouth Argyle
95.2%
Draw
4.8%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
0-1
Plymouth

Long (38')
Whittaker (78')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-0
Cheltenham
Ennis (14'), Mayor (42')

Colkett (90')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
0-2
Plymouth

Crowley (82')
Camara (42'), Garrick (75')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Cheltenham
0-1
Plymouth
Rudden (33')
Sawyer (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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