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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Cheltenham Town

Plymouth
4 - 2
Cheltenham

Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Perry (40'), May (70')
Bonds (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Plymouth will be desperate to return to winning ways sooner rather than later and will likely see Saturday as a great opportunity to do so on home turf. With home advantage and quality all over the pitch, we back the league leaders to come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
65.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 14.73% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (0.15900000000001 0.16)44.66% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (0.153 0.15)67.02% (-0.152 -0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.043000000000006 0.04)12.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.087000000000003 0.09)39.42% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (0.152 0.15)42.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (0.128 0.13)78.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 65.01%
    Cheltenham Town 14.73%
    Draw 20.24%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 65.01%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.11% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cheltenham

Plymouth Argyle
95.2%
Draw
4.8%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Cheltenham
2-0
Plymouth
Reid (56', 77')
May (81')

Cooper (87')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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