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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sheffield Wednesday.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Port Vale |
63.43% ( -0.02) | 21.12% ( 0) | 15.45% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.89% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.99% ( 0.03) | 47% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.75% ( 0.03) | 69.25% ( -0.03) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.84% ( 0) | 14.16% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.16% ( 0.01) | 41.84% ( -0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.95% ( 0.05) | 43.05% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.67% ( 0.04) | 79.33% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 63.42% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.11% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |