We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Blackpool
Both teams are set to be missing some important players for this match, and it is a contest that could go either way, with all three scores more than possible. Blackpool's away form this season has been disappointing, so we are struggling to back them and have ultimately settled on a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.