League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 1
Shrewsbury

Bird (54')
Hourihane (67'), Adams (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pierre (87')
Winchester (36'), Pierre (82'), Benning (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Derby
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Derby County 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

Although Derby lost out to Shrewsbury in the reverse fixture, we expect the Rams to prove too strong for their opponents in Saturday's contest, especially as they have won seven of their last nine home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
74.64% ( -0.04)	16.26% ( 0.02)	9.11% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.66% (

-0.04)

41.34% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.26% (

-0.04)

63.74% (

0.05)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.51% (

-0.02)

9.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.16% (

-0.05)

31.84% (

0.05)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.79% (

0.01)

50.21% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.2% (

0.01)

84.8% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Derby County 74.63%

Shrewsbury Town 9.11%

Draw 16.26%

Derby County	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 13.21% 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 74.63%	1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 16.26%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 9.11%