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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Lincoln City

Stevenage
1 - 0
Lincoln

Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 5-2 Palace U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Lincoln City

Lincoln have won three of the last four meetings between these two sides, which have all been in League Two. Indeed, Stevenage have not beaten Saturday's opponents in any competition since March 2011, but we are backing them to secure a narrow success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawLincoln City
59.9% (0.0010000000000048 0) 22.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 17.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)79.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 59.9%
    Lincoln City 17.13%
    Draw 22.96%
StevenageDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.73%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 59.9%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.13%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Lincoln

Stevenage
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
Lincoln City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Lincoln
Godden (26')
Wilkinson (82')
Palmer (75' pen.), Raggett (58')
Jones (36'), Green (45'), Bostwick (81'), Woodyard (87'), Farman (93')
Green (52')
Mar 19, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Lincoln
Wilson (37', 60')
Grimes (33' pen.)
O'Keefe (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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