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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Lincoln City

Stevenage
1 - 0
Lincoln

Reid (68')
Piergianni (28'), Evans (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Skubala (0'), Jackson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 5-2 Palace U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Lincoln City

Lincoln have won three of the last four meetings between these two sides, which have all been in League Two. Indeed, Stevenage have not beaten Saturday's opponents in any competition since March 2011, but we are backing them to secure a narrow success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawLincoln City
59.9% (0.0010000000000048 0) 22.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 17.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)79.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 59.9%
    Lincoln City 17.13%
    Draw 22.96%
StevenageDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.73%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 59.9%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.13%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Lincoln

Stevenage
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
Lincoln City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Lincoln
2-2
Stevenage
Andrade (48', 71')
Bolger (51'), Akinde (88'), Toffolo (89')
Chair (87', 94')
Wildin (89')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-1
Lincoln
Akinde (11' pen.)
Akinde (45')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Lincoln
Godden (26')
Wilkinson (82')
Palmer (75' pen.), Raggett (58')
Jones (36'), Green (45'), Bostwick (81'), Woodyard (87'), Farman (93')
Green (52')
Mar 19, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Lincoln
Wilson (37', 60')
Grimes (33' pen.)
O'Keefe (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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