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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Lincoln City

Exeter
1 - 1
Lincoln

Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Lincoln City

 Exeter are a lot better than they have shown of late, and we are backing their run of defeats to come to an end this weekend. Lincoln will be seeking a third straight win under their interim head coach, but Exeter should be good enough to claim a share of the spoils on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
33.54% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 26.76% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 39.7% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)53.66% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.014000000000003 0.01)66.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)26.47% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)61.66% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 33.54%
    Lincoln City 39.69%
    Draw 26.75%
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.69%

How you voted: Exeter vs Lincoln

Exeter City
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Lincoln City
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
2-1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
O'Connor (19')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Exeter
0-3
Lincoln

Stockley (13'), Taylor (22'), Martin (45'), Martin (74'), Boateng (90')
Frecklington (43'), Akinde (45'), Brown (56' og.)
Andrade (23')
May 17, 2018 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Exeter
3-1
Lincoln
Stockley (27'), Boateng (47'), Harley (69')
Stockley (89'), Moxey (90')
Green (78')
Eardley (18'), Bostwick (83')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101
> League One Full Table


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