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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Port Vale

Lincoln
1 - 1
Port Vale

Shodipo (90+3')
O'Connor (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garrity (34')
Arblaster (26'), Garrity (69')
Arblaster (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Port Vale

With Port Vale winless in four away league games, the visitors will be desperate to claim all three points on Saturday, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side that are unbeaten in the last four head-to-head home meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
42.58%26.59%30.83%
Both teams to score 50.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.22%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36%59.64%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.5%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 42.58%
    Port Vale 30.83%
    Draw 26.59%
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Lincoln
3-2
Port Vale
Sorensen (11'), House (42'), Jackson (87')
Taylor (30' pen.), Butterworth (33')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
McCartan (58')
Eardley (43')
Oyeleke (90')
Kay (17'), Joyce (36'), Clark (43'), Hannant (47')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Port Vale
2-6
Lincoln
Conlon (51'), Whitfield (90' pen.)
Legge (45'), Miller (56')
Anderson (3'), McCartan (38'), Legge (45' og.), Bostwick (48'), Wharton (78'), Wilson (84')
Wilson (60')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
0-4
Lincoln

Dodds (17'), Montano (35')
Shackell (5'), Green (48' pen.), O'Connor (80'), Akinde (82')
Rhead (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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