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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Stevenage

Burton Albion
0 - 0
Stevenage


Godwin-Malife (34'), Gilligan (67'), Watt (90')
FT

Sweeney (7'), Roberts (34'), Thompson (34'), Simpson (50'), Smith (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-1 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Stevenage

 Although Burton have been leaky in defence, they deserve credit for their draw at Mansfield. With that in mind, we are backing another stalemate here, albeit with fewer goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
30.75% (0.202 0.2) 27.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.99% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)56.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.023 0.02)77.32% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.163 0.16)33.4% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.177 0.18)70.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)26.45% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (-0.133 -0.13)61.63% (0.132 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 30.75%
    Stevenage 41.99%
    Draw 27.25%
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.75%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.99%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Stevenage

Burton Albion
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Stevenage
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stevenage
1-2
Burton Albion
Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Stevenage
Dembele (45' og.)
Beavon (88')
Naylor (12' og.)
Andrade (65')
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Burton Albion
Sharps (84' og.)
Parrett (14')
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Stevenage

Malone (83'), McGrath (87')
Mousinho (4', 88')
Laird (40'), Ashton (72')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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