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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Stevenage

Burton Albion
0 - 0
Stevenage


Godwin-Malife (34'), Gilligan (67'), Watt (90')
FT

Sweeney (7'), Roberts (34'), Thompson (34'), Simpson (50'), Smith (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-1 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Stevenage

 Although Burton have been leaky in defence, they deserve credit for their draw at Mansfield. With that in mind, we are backing another stalemate here, albeit with fewer goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
30.75% (0.202 0.2) 27.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.99% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)56.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.023 0.02)77.32% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.163 0.16)33.4% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.177 0.18)70.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)26.45% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (-0.133 -0.13)61.63% (0.132 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 30.75%
    Stevenage 41.99%
    Draw 27.25%
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.75%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.99%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Stevenage

Burton Albion
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Stevenage
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stevenage
1-2
Burton Albion
Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Stevenage
Dembele (45' og.)
Beavon (88')
Naylor (12' og.)
Andrade (65')
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Burton Albion
Sharps (84' og.)
Parrett (14')
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Stevenage

Malone (83'), McGrath (87')
Mousinho (4', 88')
Laird (40'), Ashton (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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