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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Stevenage

Burton Albion
0 - 0
Stevenage


Godwin-Malife (34'), Gilligan (67'), Watt (90')
FT

Sweeney (7'), Roberts (34'), Thompson (34'), Simpson (50'), Smith (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-1 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Stevenage

 Although Burton have been leaky in defence, they deserve credit for their draw at Mansfield. With that in mind, we are backing another stalemate here, albeit with fewer goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
30.75% (0.202 0.2) 27.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.99% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)56.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.023 0.02)77.32% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.163 0.16)33.4% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.177 0.18)70.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)26.45% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (-0.133 -0.13)61.63% (0.132 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 30.75%
    Stevenage 41.99%
    Draw 27.25%
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.75%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.99%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Stevenage

Burton Albion
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Stevenage
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stevenage
1-2
Burton Albion
Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Stevenage
Dembele (45' og.)
Beavon (88')
Naylor (12' og.)
Andrade (65')
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Burton Albion
Sharps (84' og.)
Parrett (14')
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Stevenage

Malone (83'), McGrath (87')
Mousinho (4', 88')
Laird (40'), Ashton (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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