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Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Crawley Town

Wrexham
2 - 1
Crawley

Lee (24'), Cleworth (79')
Dobson (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Crawley Town

Wrexham have won all four competitive home games this season by a combined 11-3 scoreline, and we think that they will make full use of their dominance on home turf to sweep past Crawley at the Racecourse Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
51.67% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 23.12% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (0.073999999999998 0.07)42.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (0.074000000000005 0.07)64.8% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.48% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.101 0.1)46.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.33% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 51.67%
    Crawley Town 25.21%
    Draw 23.12%
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.21%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crawley

Wrexham
94.1%
Draw
2.9%
Crawley Town
2.9%
34
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Wrexham
4-1
Crawley
Barnett (21'), Mullin (23', 82'), Cannon (76')
Bolton (90+5')
Lolas (90+4')
Maguire (31')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
0-1
Wrexham

Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')
Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham9711179822
2Wrexham106221881020
3Mansfield TownMansfield96211711620
4Lincoln CityLincoln9531158718
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe95221713417
6Stockport CountyStockport9441137616
7Exeter CityExeter9513106416
8Charlton AthleticCharlton10514109116
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
10Blackpool104331716115
11Barnsley104331515015
12Stevenage1042487114
13Bolton WanderersBolton94231515014
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough104241618-214
15Wigan AthleticWigan1034395413
16Reading94141314-113
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham10343911-213
18Bristol Rovers104151316-313
19Leyton Orient102261014-48
20Northampton TownNorthampton92251117-68
21Crawley TownCrawley9216513-87
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury10127817-95
23Burton Albion90451019-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge9018617-111


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