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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Crawley Town |
51.67% ( 0.08) | 23.12% ( -0.03) | 25.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.19% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.6% ( 0.07) | 42.4% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% ( 0.07) | 64.8% ( -0.07) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( 0.06) | 16.48% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.81% ( 0.1) | 46.19% ( -0.1) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% ( -0) | 30.33% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.49% ( -0.01) | 66.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
13 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
14 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
16 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |