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League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Shrewsbury Town

Wrexham
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Palmer (15'), Lee (42'), Marriott (59')
McClean (28'), Dobson (35'), Lee (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Benning (8'), Ojo (69'), Winchester (76'), Lloyd (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

Shrewsbury may be in a positive mood after claiming their first win of the season, but we think that they could experience disappointment in Saturday's clash against a Wrexham side that has won both of their two home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawShrewsbury Town
58.36% (-0.182 -0.18) 23.01% (-0.038 -0.04) 18.63% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.496 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (0.463 0.46)49.62% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (0.415 0.41)71.64% (-0.414 -0.41)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.101 0.1)16.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (0.18 0.18)46.6% (-0.181 -0.18)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35% (0.52399999999999 0.52)40.65% (-0.525 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75% (0.466 0.47)77.25% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 58.36%
    Shrewsbury Town 18.63%
    Draw 23%
WrexhamDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 10.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 58.36%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.63%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Shrewsbury

Wrexham
87.5%
Draw
5.6%
Shrewsbury Town
6.9%
72
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 2pm
Third Round
Shrewsbury
0-1
Wrexham

Bowman (57'), Anderson (60')
O'Connor (72')
McClean (57'), Tozer (88')
Apr 13, 2008 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-0
Wrexham
Moss (58'), McIntyre (7'), Constable (68')
Davies (34'), Hibbert (75')

Spender (17'), Roberts (27'), Broughton (39')
Nov 4, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
0-1
Shrewsbury

Done (87'), Garrett (90')
Symes (59')
Moss (21'), Symes (79')
Apr 24, 2007 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-1
Wrexham
Proctor (79')
Proctor (64'), Valentine (66')
Feb 25, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Shrewsbury
Williams (55')
Roberts (13'), Williams (34'), Llewellyn (64'), McEvilly (89')
Evans (40')
Fortune-West (8', 51'), Asamoah (38')
Tierney (14'), Edwards (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham9711179822
2Wrexham106221881020
3Mansfield TownMansfield96211711620
4Lincoln CityLincoln9531158718
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe95221713417
6Stockport CountyStockport9441137616
7Exeter CityExeter9513106416
8Charlton AthleticCharlton10514109116
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
10Blackpool104331716115
11Barnsley104331515015
12Stevenage1042487114
13Bolton WanderersBolton94231515014
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough104241618-214
15Wigan AthleticWigan1034395413
16Reading94141314-113
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham10343911-213
18Bristol Rovers104151316-313
19Leyton Orient102261014-48
20Northampton TownNorthampton92251117-68
21Crawley TownCrawley9216513-87
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury10127817-95
23Burton Albion90451019-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge9018617-111


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