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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.36% ( -0.18) | 23.01% ( -0.04) | 18.63% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% ( 0.46) | 49.62% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% ( 0.41) | 71.64% ( -0.41) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.29% ( 0.1) | 16.71% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.4% ( 0.18) | 46.6% ( -0.18) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.35% ( 0.52) | 40.65% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.75% ( 0.47) | 77.25% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
4 | Barnsley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
18 | Blackpool | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |