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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.36% ( -0.18) | 23.01% ( -0.04) | 18.63% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% ( 0.46) | 49.62% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% ( 0.41) | 71.64% ( -0.41) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.29% ( 0.1) | 16.71% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.4% ( 0.18) | 46.6% ( -0.18) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.35% ( 0.52) | 40.65% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.75% ( 0.47) | 77.25% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |