Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.