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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
27.49% ( -0.4) | 24.28% ( -0.14) | 48.22% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.2% ( 0.36) | 45.79% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% ( 0.34) | 68.11% ( -0.34) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( -0.11) | 30.36% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.45% ( -0.13) | 66.55% ( 0.13) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% ( 0.36) | 19.08% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.31% ( 0.59) | 50.68% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 27.49% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
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