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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Harrogate Town |
38.87% ( -0.01) | 26.66% ( -0.03) | 34.46% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.83% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.86% ( 0.12) | 53.14% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.29% ( 0.1) | 74.71% ( -0.1) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( 0.05) | 26.69% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( 0.07) | 61.94% ( -0.06) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% ( 0.08) | 29.3% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.74% ( 0.1) | 65.26% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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