MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:29:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Accrington Stanley

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Accrington

Smith (89'), Tilley (90+8')
Jackson (23'), Stevens (37'), Tilley (60'), Ball (70'), Neufville (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khumbeni (58'), Costelloe (76')
Woods (22'), Rawson (45+1'), Walton (88'), Hunter (90+9')
Rawson (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Accrington Stanley

The hosts have had a largely positive start to the 2024-25 campaign, while the visitors are coming into this one in a great run of form, leading us to believe this one will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
54.24% (-1.33 -1.33) 23.42% (0.591 0.59) 22.34% (0.739 0.74)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.921 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33% (-1.708 -1.71)46.67% (1.708 1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-1.623 -1.62)68.94% (1.621 1.62)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (-1.083 -1.08)17.11% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.68% (-1.943 -1.94)47.32% (1.943 1.94)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)35.13% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-0.273 -0.27)71.89% (0.27199999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 54.24%
    Accrington Stanley 22.34%
    Draw 23.42%
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.24%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.32 0.32)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.421 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.187 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington

AFC Wimbledon
55.1%
Draw
24.5%
Accrington Stanley
20.4%
49
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Accrington
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Nolan (50'), Woods (81')
Bickerstaff (90+6')

Ball (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
2-4
Accrington
Bugiel (51', 70')
Pell (24'), Al-Hamadi (68'), Biler (82')
Pritchard (4', 46'), Leigh (9'), Hills (83')
Bagueloc'rich (25'), Hills (54'), Mellor (63')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
AFC Wimbledon
3-4
Accrington
Assal (56'), Rudoni (58', 66')
Heneghan (79')
Bagueloc'rich (18'), Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45'), O'Sullivan (63')
Bagueloc'rich (73'), Butcher (81')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-5
AFC Wimbledon
Nottingham (5')
Burgess (56')
Palmer (21', 42'), Assal (45+1', 64'), Pigott (57')
Assal (65'), Heneghan (67')
Heneghan (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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