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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
38.81% ( -0.11) | 25.81% ( 0) | 35.38% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.79% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.58% ( 0) | 49.41% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% ( 0) | 71.45% ( 0) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.99% ( -0.06) | 25% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.33% ( -0.08) | 59.66% ( 0.08) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% ( 0.06) | 26.93% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.73% ( 0.08) | 62.26% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.81% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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