MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 11:05:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Accrington Stanley

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 4
Accrington

Bugiel (51', 70')
Pell (24'), Al-Hamadi (68'), Biler (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pritchard (4', 46'), Leigh (9'), Hills (83')
Bagueloc'rich (25'), Hills (54'), Mellor (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Accrington Stanley

The fact that Wimbledon's previous four league games have produced just two goals suggests another cagey encounter could be on the cards, but both teams have scored in eight of the last nine head-to-heads. There is not much to split the sides in the table and there may be little to separate on them the pitch too in what could well be a close encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
49.39% (-0.405 -0.41) 25.05% (0.004999999999999 0) 25.55% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 52.2% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.287 0.29)50.47% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (0.253 0.25)72.4% (-0.25500000000001 -0.26)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)20.45% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.09% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)52.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.491 0.49)34.37% (-0.492 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (0.521 0.52)71.08% (-0.52300000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 49.38%
    Accrington Stanley 25.55%
    Draw 25.05%
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.086 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.55%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington

AFC Wimbledon
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Accrington Stanley
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
AFC Wimbledon
3-4
Accrington
Assal (56'), Rudoni (58', 66')
Heneghan (79')
Bagueloc'rich (18'), Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45'), O'Sullivan (63')
Bagueloc'rich (73'), Butcher (81')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-5
AFC Wimbledon
Nottingham (5')
Burgess (56')
Palmer (21', 42'), Assal (45+1', 64'), Pigott (57')
Assal (65'), Heneghan (67')
Heneghan (90+2')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Accrington
Longman (18')
Woodyard (27')
Sykes (41'), Butcher (45')
Cassidy (62'), Pritchard (90+4')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Accrington
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Clark (14'), Charles (21')
Pritchard (27')
Pritchard (55')
Pigott (73')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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