League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Crawley

Pierre (39'), Little (41'), Nightingale (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nadesan (5')
Nadesan (19'), Roles (67'), Oteh (72'), Johnson (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crawley Town
48.76% ( 1.3)	25.34% ( -0.48)	25.89% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.59% (

1.36)

51.41% (

-1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78% (

1.17)

73.22% (

-1.17)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

1.14)

21.1% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07% (

1.73)

53.92% (

-1.73)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4% (

0.06)

34.6% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.68% (

0.06)

71.32% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 48.76%

Crawley Town 25.89%

Draw 25.34%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.48% Total : 48.76%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.89%