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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
AFC Wimbledon

Newport
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Charsley (69')
Farquharson (18'), Norman (61'), Lewis (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Hamadi (5')
Currie (63'), McAteer (70'), Woodyard (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

 Both sides will be fired up for this affair, as it is a close matchup that could be used as a platform for either side to springboard off and finish the season on a high. However, we believe that Newport will be frustrated to a third consecutive draw, while Wimbledon's record without a win will extend to nine games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 28.12% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.71% (0.033999999999999 0.03)62.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02)81.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.038999999999994 0.04)61.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)41.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.41%
    AFC Wimbledon 24.45%
    Draw 28.11%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Newport vs AFC Wimbledon

Newport County
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
AFC Wimbledon
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Newport
Chislett (58')
Zanzala (70' pen.)
Zanzala (9')
May 7, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Newport
Olusanya (80' pen.)
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Newport
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Rodman (14'), Robinson (30' og.)
Taylor (53', 79')
Bulman (79')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Newport
Akinfenwa (11', 72')

Porter (45'), Jones (70')
Feely (56')
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Newport
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Yakubu (18'), Pigott (46', 65'), O'Connor (91')
Sandell (24'), Willmott (54'), Pigott (87')
Akinfenwa (70')
Barrett (8'), Bennett (73'), Akinfenwa (93')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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