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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
AFC Wimbledon

Newport
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Charsley (69')
Farquharson (18'), Norman (61'), Lewis (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Hamadi (5')
Currie (63'), McAteer (70'), Woodyard (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 AFC Wimbledon

 Both sides will be fired up for this affair, as it is a close matchup that could be used as a platform for either side to springboard off and finish the season on a high. However, we believe that Newport will be frustrated to a third consecutive draw, while Wimbledon's record without a win will extend to nine games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
47.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 28.12% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.71% (0.033999999999999 0.03)62.29% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02)81.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.038999999999994 0.04)61.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)41.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)78.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 47.41%
    AFC Wimbledon 24.45%
    Draw 28.11%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.45%

How you voted: Newport vs AFC Wimbledon

Newport County
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
AFC Wimbledon
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Newport
Chislett (58')
Zanzala (70' pen.)
Zanzala (9')
May 7, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Newport
Olusanya (80' pen.)
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Newport
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Rodman (14'), Robinson (30' og.)
Taylor (53', 79')
Bulman (79')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Newport
Akinfenwa (11', 72')

Porter (45'), Jones (70')
Feely (56')
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Newport
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Yakubu (18'), Pigott (46', 65'), O'Connor (91')
Sandell (24'), Willmott (54'), Pigott (87')
Akinfenwa (70')
Barrett (8'), Bennett (73'), Akinfenwa (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815
> League Two Full Table


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