League Two | Gameweek 22
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Crawley Town
Tranmere have been on a really poor run of form, but they are above Crawley in the table and have enough quality to secure a narrow victory on home soil.
Crawley have not won away all season and lost in disappointing style against Hartlepool last time out, so they are likely to come away empty-handed again.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 56.36% . A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.86% .
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.7%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.57%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
Result Tranmere Rovers Draw Crawley Town 56.36% ( 1.02) 23.77% ( -0.41) 19.86% ( -0.62)
Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.27)
48.96% ( 0.84) 51.03% ( -0.85)
27.1% ( 0.74) 72.9% ( -0.74)
82.06% ( 0.7) 17.93% ( -0.7)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.25% ( 1.18) 48.75% ( -1.19)
59.89% ( -0.18) 40.1% ( 0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.25% ( -0.16) 76.74% ( 0.16)
Tranmere Rovers 56.35%
Crawley Town 19.86%
Draw 23.77%
Tranmere Rovers Draw Crawley Town 1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.4% Total : 56.35% 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.77% 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.86%
How you voted: Tranmere vs Crawley
Tranmere Rovers
Draw
Crawley Town
19
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-07 13:58:54
Tuesday, July 9
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