Despite their defeat to a higher calibre of opposition in midweek, Steve Evans's Stevenage side have been prolific throughout their League Two campaign, and we expect them to bounce back against an opponent in their domestic league.
AFC Wimbledon will make life difficult for the Boro with their well-drilled defensive stability, however it may not be enough to stop a Stevenage side striving for the title.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
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