League Two | Gameweek 22
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon2 - 3Stevenage
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Stevenage
Despite their defeat to a higher calibre of opposition in midweek, Steve Evans's Stevenage side have been prolific throughout their League Two campaign, and we expect them to bounce back against an opponent in their domestic league. AFC Wimbledon will make life difficult for the Boro with their well-drilled defensive stability, however it may not be enough to stop a Stevenage side striving for the title. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Stevenage |
34.89% ( 0) | 28.62% ( -0) | 36.49% |
| Both teams to score 45.95% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
