League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Canavan (61'), Gordon (74')
Neal (58'), Whitfield (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jenkins (5')
Ogundere (24'), Currie (55'), Little (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barrow 1-0 AFC Wimbledon

With their attacking threat nullified by Crawley, a Wimbledon side still beset by injuries and international call-ups should not snap their dampening winless run at Holker Street. Low-scoring contests have been the theme for Barrow in recent weeks, and while Wild's squad has also undergone a mini-reshuffle, the hosts can harness their defensive specialities to get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
44%	29.38% ( -0)	26.61% ( 0)

Both teams to score 41.21% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35% (

65% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.11% (

83.89% (

-0)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46% (

29.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.44% (

65.56% (

-0)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.48% (

41.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

78.01% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Barrow 44%

AFC Wimbledon 26.61%

Draw 29.37%

Barrow	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.95% 2-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.02% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 44%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 12.26% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.37%	0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.21% Total : 26.61%