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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Salford City |
52.32% ( 0.05) | 23.32% ( -0.02) | 24.35% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.85% ( 0.08) | 44.15% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.47% ( 0.07) | 66.53% ( -0.07) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% ( 0.05) | 16.88% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.08% ( 0.08) | 46.91% ( -0.08) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.03% ( 0.02) | 31.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.57% ( 0.02) | 68.43% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.33% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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