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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
53.66% ( 0.04) | 22.91% ( 0.01) | 23.43% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% ( -0.08) | 43.25% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( -0.08) | 65.64% ( 0.08) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( -0.02) | 16.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.53% ( -0.02) | 45.47% ( 0.02) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.74% ( -0.09) | 32.26% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.24% ( -0.1) | 68.76% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |