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Championship header 2

League Two
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Salford City
2 - 2
Forest Green

Smith (4'), Watson (90+1' pen.)
Watt (21'), Garbutt (41'), Mariappa (72')
Robinson (0'), Mariappa (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCann (39'), Stevens (70')
Bunker (23'), Inniss (59'), Dabo (88')
Inniss (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Salford City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

 Neither team would have expected to be facing relegation trouble at this stage of the season, but that is the reality that both sides face for the time being at least. Despite being unlikely to have a permanent manager in place for this meeting, Salford will sense an opportunity to put some distance between themselves and the bottom two. Forest Green have improved since appointing Deeney as their manager, but they appear out of sorts on the road, and we can see more pain for them in the short-term before potentially escaping relegation by the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawForest Green Rovers
35.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.14% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 40.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.71% (0.286 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (0.371 0.37)41.76% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (0.372 0.37)64.16% (-0.37 -0.37)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.191 0.19)23.32% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.276 0.28)57.26% (-0.276 -0.28)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (0.17700000000001 0.18)20.83% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (0.277 0.28)53.51% (-0.275 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 35.46%
    Forest Green Rovers 40.4%
    Draw 24.14%
Salford CityDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Salford City vs Forest Green

Salford City
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Forest Green Rovers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Forest Green
0-2
Salford City

McCann (43'), Robson (72'), Bunker (90')
McAleny (51'), Smith (90+5')
Hendry (17'), Garbutt (71'), Bolton (90+2')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Salford City
1-1
Forest Green
Smith (7')
Vassell (48'), Turnbull (63')
Stevens (53')
Matt (63'), Adams (71')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Forest Green
3-1
Salford City
Cadden (45+1'), Wilson (71'), Aitchison (90+3')
Moore-Taylor (8')
Thomas-Asante (17')
Touray (15'), Elliott (35'), Lund (43')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Forest Green
0-2
Salford City

Adams (55')
Henderson (38', 77')
Threlkeld (46'), Thomas-Asante (64')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Salford City
0-0
Forest Green
Turnbull (18'), Hunter (84')
Cadden (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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