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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Salford City
2 - 2
Forest Green

Smith (4'), Watson (90+1' pen.)
Watt (21'), Garbutt (41'), Mariappa (72')
Robinson (0'), Mariappa (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCann (39'), Stevens (70')
Bunker (23'), Inniss (59'), Dabo (88')
Inniss (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Salford City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Neither team would have expected to be facing relegation trouble at this stage of the season, but that is the reality that both sides face for the time being at least. Despite being unlikely to have a permanent manager in place for this meeting, Salford will sense an opportunity to put some distance between themselves and the bottom two. Forest Green have improved since appointing Deeney as their manager, but they appear out of sorts on the road, and we can see more pain for them in the short-term before potentially escaping relegation by the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawForest Green Rovers
35.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 24.14% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 40.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.71% (0.286 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (0.371 0.37)41.76% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (0.372 0.37)64.16% (-0.37 -0.37)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.191 0.19)23.32% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.276 0.28)57.26% (-0.276 -0.28)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (0.17700000000001 0.18)20.83% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (0.277 0.28)53.51% (-0.275 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 35.46%
    Forest Green Rovers 40.4%
    Draw 24.14%
Salford CityDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.07% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.46%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Salford City vs Forest Green

Salford City
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Forest Green Rovers
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Forest Green
0-2
Salford City

McCann (43'), Robson (72'), Bunker (90')
McAleny (51'), Smith (90+5')
Hendry (17'), Garbutt (71'), Bolton (90+2')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Salford City
1-1
Forest Green
Smith (7')
Vassell (48'), Turnbull (63')
Stevens (53')
Matt (63'), Adams (71')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Forest Green
3-1
Salford City
Cadden (45+1'), Wilson (71'), Aitchison (90+3')
Moore-Taylor (8')
Thomas-Asante (17')
Touray (15'), Elliott (35'), Lund (43')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Forest Green
0-2
Salford City

Adams (55')
Henderson (38', 77')
Threlkeld (46'), Thomas-Asante (64')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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