EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby0 - 1Bradford
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-3 Derby
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bradford 2-4 Crawley
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Derby County 3-1 Bradford City
Although Bradford have struggled in recent league games, they have won all four games in the EFL Trophy to seal their place in the last 16. However, we think that their fine run in the competition will be brought to an end by an in-form Derby side that has won four of their last five competitive matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Bradford City |
56.19% ( -0.31) | 22.82% ( 0.12) | 20.99% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
