League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
3 - 0
Salford City

Whalley (14'), Nolan (33' pen., 40')
Gubbins (17'), Martin (45+3'), Woods (67'), Woods (86')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bolton (64'), Tilt (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Accrington
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Grimsby Town
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Salford City

Salford City are in desperate need of a positive result here to bring some much-needed positivity to the dressing room, but it is hard to see that happening with the side showing very little to suggest that a comeback in the second half of the season is on the cards. Accrington Stanley will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing a deflated Ammies squad, and we feel they will hand their opponents a fourth consecutive league defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Salford City
46.38% ( -0.16)	23.78% ( 0.15)	29.84% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.75% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

-0.66)

42.06% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54% (

-0.66)

64.46% (

0.67)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

-0.32)

18.36% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.52% (

-0.55)

49.47% (

0.55)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

-0.31)

26.81% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

-0.42)

62.1% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 46.38%

Salford City 29.84%

Draw 23.78%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Salford City
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.55% Total : 46.38%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.84%