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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Colchester United |
28.45% (![]() | 27.01% (![]() | 44.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.7% (![]() | 56.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.67% (![]() | 77.33% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.85% (![]() | 35.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.09% (![]() | 71.9% (![]() |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% (![]() | 25.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.13% (![]() | 59.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 9.24% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.45% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 12.2% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 68 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 66 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 62 |
4 | Notts County | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 61 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 60 |
6 | Port Vale | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 58 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 56 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 56 |
9 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Salford City | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 50 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 49 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 49 |
14 | Chesterfield | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 43 | 13 | 48 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
18 | MK Dons | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 41 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 39 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 33 |
23 | Morecambe | 36 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 29 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |