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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Colchester United

Carlisle
0 - 0
Colchester


Patching (31'), McArthur (41')
FT

McDonnell (28'), Simpson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Colchester United

Carlisle United have been in freefall since the turn of the year and could be cut adrift very soon unless Hughes can find a way to stop the rot. Unfortunately for the Cumbrians, they are about to face one of the most in-form sides in the league at the moment, and we feel they will leave this match empty-handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
28.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 27.01% (0.0010000000000012 0) 44.54% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)56.3% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.67% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)77.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)35.15% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.9% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)59.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 28.45%
    Colchester United 44.54%
    Draw 27%
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 28.45%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 12.2% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.42% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.54%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Colchester

Carlisle United
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Colchester United
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
0-0
Carlisle
McDonnell (82'), Flanagan (82')
Lavelle (2'), Harper (25'), Mellish (49')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Colchester
1-1
Carlisle
Chilvers (19')
Dennis (44')
Back (74'), Barclay (82')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
0-0
Colchester
Mellish (41'), Whelan (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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