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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Colchester United

Carlisle
0 - 0
Colchester


Patching (31'), McArthur (41')
FT

McDonnell (28'), Simpson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Colchester United

 Carlisle United have been in freefall since the turn of the year and could be cut adrift very soon unless Hughes can find a way to stop the rot. Unfortunately for the Cumbrians, they are about to face one of the most in-form sides in the league at the moment, and we feel they will leave this match empty-handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
28.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 27.01% (0.0010000000000012 0) 44.54% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)56.3% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.67% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)77.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)35.15% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.9% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)59.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 28.45%
    Colchester United 44.54%
    Draw 27%
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 28.45%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 12.2% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.42% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.54%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Colchester

Carlisle United
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Colchester United
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
0-0
Carlisle
McDonnell (82'), Flanagan (82')
Lavelle (2'), Harper (25'), Mellish (49')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
1-0
Colchester
McCalmont (4')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Colchester
1-1
Carlisle
Chilvers (19')
Dennis (44')
Back (74'), Barclay (82')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
0-0
Colchester
Mellish (41'), Whelan (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall382010867432470
2Bradford CityBradford38209952322069
3AFC Wimbledon3818101051282364
4Port Vale371713748371164
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
6Notts County3817111056391762
7Grimsby Town38185155254-259
8Colchester UnitedColchester38141684637958
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe38141684538758
10Salford City371411124441353
11Chesterfield3714101358441452
12Bromley381313124947252
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood381214124946350
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham381311145155-450
15Swindon TownSwindon381115125555048
16Newport CountyNewport38137184862-1446
17BarrowBarrow37129164245-345
18MK Dons37136184753-645
19Gillingham371110163139-843
20Accrington StanleyAccrington381011174555-1041
21Harrogate TownHarrogate38118192948-1941
22Tranmere RoversTranmere38813172855-2737
23Morecambe3886243357-2430
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3779212854-2630
> League Two Full Table


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