MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:18:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Colchester United

Carlisle
1 - 0
Colchester

FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Walsall
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
44.88% (0.163 0.16) 28.01% (0.336 0.34) 27.11% (-0.498 -0.5)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-1.21 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.55% (-1.38 -1.38)60.45% (1.382 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (-1.054 -1.05)80.58% (1.057 1.06)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.557 -0.56)26.87% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.739 -0.74)62.19% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.177 -1.18)38.51% (1.178 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-1.141 -1.14)75.26% (1.143 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 44.88%
    Colchester United 27.11%
    Draw 28%
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Colchester
2-1
Carlisle
Harriott (66' pen., 74')
Tchamadeu (90+2')
Mellish (29')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Colchester
Alessandra (4'), Mellish (29'), Hayden (81')
Riley (22'), Mellish (61'), Guy (64')
Norris (44', 52')
Pell (34'), Harriott (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!