MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 16:42:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Colchester United

Carlisle
1 - 0
Colchester

FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Walsall
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
44.88% (0.163 0.16) 28.01% (0.336 0.34) 27.11% (-0.498 -0.5)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-1.21 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.55% (-1.38 -1.38)60.45% (1.382 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (-1.054 -1.05)80.58% (1.057 1.06)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.557 -0.56)26.87% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.739 -0.74)62.19% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.177 -1.18)38.51% (1.178 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-1.141 -1.14)75.26% (1.143 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 44.88%
    Colchester United 27.11%
    Draw 28%
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.35% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Colchester
2-1
Carlisle
Harriott (66' pen., 74')
Tchamadeu (90+2')
Mellish (29')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Colchester
Alessandra (4'), Mellish (29'), Hayden (81')
Riley (22'), Mellish (61'), Guy (64')
Norris (44', 52')
Pell (34'), Harriott (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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