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Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Carlisle United

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Carlisle

Obikwu (62'), Rose (83' pen.)
Khouri (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (5')
Hugill (44'), Lavelle (51'), Embleton (75'), Robson (82'), Thomas (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 0-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 2-0 Carlisle United

With Carlisle having made a managerial change, it remains to be seen whether they can make an immediate change on the results front. For us, though, we can only back Grimsby to come through in relatively-comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCarlisle United
42.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 26.65% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 31.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)53.87% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)59.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.9% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)68.34% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 42.23%
    Carlisle United 31.12%
    Draw 26.65%
Grimsby TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.23%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Carlisle

Grimsby Town
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Carlisle
2-3
Grimsby Town
Lavelle (12'), Sadi (27')
Vela (55'), Sadi (58'), Barclay (61')
Barrington (24'), Cass (81'), Rodgers (90')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Grimsby Town
1-2
Carlisle
Efete (65')
Moxon (7'), Dennis (44')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
1-1
Grimsby Town
Zanzala (90+3')
Hayden (31')
John-Lewis (16')
Coke (55')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Grimsby Town
1-1
Carlisle
Pollock (24')
Taylor (37'), Waterfall (76'), Starbuck (82'), Pollock (90+3')
McKeown (46' og.)
Anderton (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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