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Championship header 2

League Two
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Carlisle United

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Carlisle

Obikwu (62'), Rose (83' pen.)
Khouri (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (5')
Hugill (44'), Lavelle (51'), Embleton (75'), Robson (82'), Thomas (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bromley 0-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 2-0 Carlisle United

 With Carlisle having made a managerial change, it remains to be seen whether they can make an immediate change on the results front. For us, though, we can only back Grimsby to come through in relatively-comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCarlisle United
42.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 26.65% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 31.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)53.87% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)25.23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)59.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)31.9% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)68.34% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 42.23%
    Carlisle United 31.12%
    Draw 26.65%
Grimsby TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.23%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Carlisle

Grimsby Town
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Carlisle
2-3
Grimsby Town
Lavelle (12'), Sadi (27')
Vela (55'), Sadi (58'), Barclay (61')
Barrington (24'), Cass (81'), Rodgers (90')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-0
Grimsby Town
McCalmont (36'), Gibson (44')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Grimsby Town
1-2
Carlisle
Efete (65')
Moxon (7'), Dennis (44')
> Preview
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
1-1
Grimsby Town
Zanzala (90+3')
Hayden (31')
John-Lewis (16')
Coke (55')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Grimsby Town
1-1
Carlisle
Pollock (24')
Taylor (37'), Waterfall (76'), Starbuck (82'), Pollock (90+3')
McKeown (46' og.)
Anderton (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall382010867432470
2Bradford CityBradford38209952322069
3AFC Wimbledon3818101051282364
4Port Vale371713748371164
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
6Notts County3817111056391762
7Grimsby Town38185155254-259
8Colchester UnitedColchester38141684637958
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe38141684538758
10Salford City371411124441353
11Chesterfield3714101358441452
12Bromley381313124947252
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood381214124946350
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham381311145155-450
15Swindon TownSwindon381115125555048
16Newport CountyNewport38137184862-1446
17BarrowBarrow37129164245-345
18MK Dons37136184753-645
19Gillingham371110163139-843
20Accrington StanleyAccrington381011174555-1041
21Harrogate TownHarrogate38118192948-1941
22Tranmere RoversTranmere38813172855-2737
23Morecambe3886243357-2430
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3779212854-2630
> League Two Full Table


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