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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
35.18% ( -0.23) | 25.35% ( 0.15) | 39.47% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( -0.73) | 47.4% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( -0.68) | 69.61% ( 0.67) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( -0.47) | 26.09% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( -0.64) | 61.15% ( 0.64) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( -0.29) | 23.75% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% ( -0.41) | 57.89% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |