League Two

League Two | Gameweek 13

Nov 21, 2020 at 1.30pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
0 - 3
Carlisle

Sesay (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bennett (43'), Kayode (55'), Hayden (62')
Guy (78')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Carlisle United
35.23%	27.12%	37.65%

Both teams to score 50.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.11%

54.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.82%

76.18%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32%

29.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27%

65.73%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79%

28.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09%

63.91%

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 35.23%

Carlisle United 37.65%

Draw 27.12%

Crawley Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.23%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.65%