Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
