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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Crawley
0 - 1
Wrexham


Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crawley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Wrexham

 Crawley Town have the best home record in League Two, while Wrexham have not been particularly impressive on the road, with their only away win coming against 22nd-placed Tranmere Rovers. Given that three points separate the two sides in the table, they are clearly evenly-matched, so we are expecting a draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawWrexham
39.79% (0.169 0.17) 23.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.43% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 62.24% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (0.022999999999996 0.02)39.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.19% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.088999999999999 0.09)20.28% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (0.143 0.14)52.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)21.92% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)55.19% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 39.79%
    Wrexham 36.43%
    Draw 23.77%
Crawley TownDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.09% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 39.79%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Crawley vs Wrexham

Crawley Town
33.3%
Draw
41.7%
Wrexham
25.0%
12
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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