League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley0 - 1Wrexham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crawley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Wrexham
Crawley Town have the best home record in League Two, while Wrexham have not been particularly impressive on the road, with their only away win coming against 22nd-placed Tranmere Rovers. Given that three points separate the two sides in the table, they are clearly evenly-matched, so we are expecting a draw this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Wrexham |
39.79% ( 0.17) | 23.78% ( -0.01) | 36.43% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.24% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
