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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Crewe Alexandra

Wrexham
3 - 3
Crewe

Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

Parkinson will be looking for a response from his side this weekend, after the very disappointing 5-0 defeat away at Stockport County last time out. Wrexham have been very solid at home all season, winning their last three matches at the Racecourse Ground on the spin, so we expect them to bounce back with a victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 14.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
66.43% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 18.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 14.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)37.16% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)59.36% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)10.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.073 -0.07)37.7% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (-0.073 -0.07)74.48% (0.074999999999989 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 66.42%
    Crewe Alexandra 14.89%
    Draw 18.69%
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.4%
4-0 @ 4.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 66.42%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.89%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crewe

Wrexham
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
11
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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