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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Crewe Alexandra

Wrexham
3 - 3
Crewe

Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Crewe Alexandra

Parkinson will be looking for a response from his side this weekend, after the very disappointing 5-0 defeat away at Stockport County last time out. Wrexham have been very solid at home all season, winning their last three matches at the Racecourse Ground on the spin, so we expect them to bounce back with a victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 14.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
66.43% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 18.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 14.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)37.16% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)59.36% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)10.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.073 -0.07)37.7% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (-0.073 -0.07)74.48% (0.074999999999989 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 66.42%
    Crewe Alexandra 14.89%
    Draw 18.69%
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.4%
4-0 @ 4.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 66.42%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.89%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crewe

Wrexham
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
11
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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