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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
66.43% ( 0.05) | 18.69% ( -0.01) | 14.89% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.85% ( -0.04) | 37.16% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.65% ( -0.04) | 59.36% ( 0.04) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.62% ( 0) | 10.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.1% ( 0) | 33.91% ( -0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.3% ( -0.07) | 37.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.52% ( -0.07) | 74.48% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.4% 4-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 66.42% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.69% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 14.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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