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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
61.14% ( 0.61) | 20.75% ( 0.33) | 18.11% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( -2.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.38% ( -3.08) | 40.62% ( 3.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.99% ( -3.23) | 63% ( 3.23) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.17% ( -0.78) | 12.83% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.83% ( -1.63) | 39.17% ( 1.63) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( -2.82) | 35.94% ( 2.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% ( -3) | 72.72% ( 3) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.79) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 1.02) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.37) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.51% Total : 61.14% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.62) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |