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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
4 - 1
Newport

Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 4-3 Charlton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 Newport County

 Both sides came from two goals behind to claim draws last weekend, and we would not be surprised if the two sides end up sharing the spoils once again on Saturday. Neither team have impressed defensively so far this season but they have each shown they are capable of scoring plenty of goals, so we are predicting a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
33.35% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 25.36% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 41.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (0.184 0.18)47.8% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (0.169 0.17)69.99% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (0.073999999999998 0.07)27.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)62.86% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.11500000000001 0.12)23.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.168 0.17)56.82% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 33.35%
    Newport County 41.28%
    Draw 25.36%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.35%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.28%

How you voted: Crawley vs Newport

Crawley Town
44.8%
Draw
31.0%
Newport County
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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