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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Newport County |
33.35% (![]() | 25.36% (![]() | 41.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.19% (![]() | 47.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30% (![]() | 69.99% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.61% (![]() | 27.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.14% (![]() | 62.86% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% (![]() | 23.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% (![]() | 56.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 8.16% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.35% | 1-1 @ 11.99% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 9.26% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |