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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
4 - 1
Newport

Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 4-3 Charlton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 Newport County

 Both sides came from two goals behind to claim draws last weekend, and we would not be surprised if the two sides end up sharing the spoils once again on Saturday. Neither team have impressed defensively so far this season but they have each shown they are capable of scoring plenty of goals, so we are predicting a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
33.35% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 25.36% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 41.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (0.184 0.18)47.8% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (0.169 0.17)69.99% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (0.073999999999998 0.07)27.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)62.86% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.11500000000001 0.12)23.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.168 0.17)56.82% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 33.35%
    Newport County 41.28%
    Draw 25.36%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.35%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.28%

How you voted: Crawley vs Newport

Crawley Town
44.8%
Draw
31.0%
Newport County
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622
> League Two Full Table


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