League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley4 - 1Newport
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crawley 4-3 Charlton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Crawley Town 2-2 Newport County
Both sides came from two goals behind to claim draws last weekend, and we would not be surprised if the two sides end up sharing the spoils once again on Saturday. Neither team have impressed defensively so far this season but they have each shown they are capable of scoring plenty of goals, so we are predicting a high-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Newport County |
33.35% ( -0.03) | 25.36% ( -0.04) | 41.28% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( 0.18) | 47.8% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( 0.17) | 69.99% ( -0.17) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( 0.07) | 27.39% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.14% ( 0.09) | 62.86% ( -0.1) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( 0.12) | 23.01% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.17% ( 0.17) | 56.82% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Crawley Town 33.35%
Newport County 41.28%
Draw 25.36%
| Crawley Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.35% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.28% |
How you voted: Crawley vs Newport
Crawley Town
44.8%Draw
31.0%Newport County
24.1%29
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Form Guide
