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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Newport County

Crawley
4 - 1
Newport

Tsaroulla (5'), Campbell (54', 67'), Gladwin (79')
Campbell (64'), Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bogle (10')
Bogle (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 4-3 Charlton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 Newport County

 Both sides came from two goals behind to claim draws last weekend, and we would not be surprised if the two sides end up sharing the spoils once again on Saturday. Neither team have impressed defensively so far this season but they have each shown they are capable of scoring plenty of goals, so we are predicting a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
33.35% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 25.36% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 41.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.19% (0.184 0.18)47.8% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (0.169 0.17)69.99% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (0.073999999999998 0.07)27.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (0.094000000000001 0.09)62.86% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.11500000000001 0.12)23.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (0.168 0.17)56.82% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 33.35%
    Newport County 41.28%
    Draw 25.36%
Crawley TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.35%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.28%

How you voted: Crawley vs Newport

Crawley Town
44.8%
Draw
31.0%
Newport County
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
2-2
Crawley
Dolan (83'), Zanzala (90+2')
Telford (36', 67')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Crawley
2-1
Newport
Tilley (40'), Nadesan (57')
Moriah-Welsh (79')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Newport
1-2
Crawley
Waite (59')
Waite (19')
Nadesan (15'), Francillette (21')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-1
Newport
Appiah (55')
Appiah (56'), Nadesan (77')
Telford (84')
Norman (11'), Clarke (74'), Upson (75'), Fisher (88'), Lewis (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Newport
2-0
Crawley
Shephard (52'), Lewis (90+10')
Hartigan (58'), Sheehan (67')

Davies (17'), Tunnicliffe (83')
Nichols (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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