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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
41.79% (![]() | 25.44% (![]() | 32.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% (![]() | 48.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% (![]() | 70.46% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.01% (![]() | 22.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.22% (![]() | 56.78% (![]() |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% (![]() | 28.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.35% (![]() | 63.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 12.04% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 40 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 70 | 46 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 70 |
3 | Port Vale | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 70 |
4 | Notts County | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 39 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 67 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 65 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 40 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 62 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 40 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 61 |
9 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 40 | 14 | 17 | 9 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 59 |
10 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 61 | 45 | 16 | 58 |
11 | Salford City | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 40 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 56 |
13 | Bromley | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 53 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 51 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 50 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 49 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
18 | MK Dons | 40 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 46 |
19 | Gillingham | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 45 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 45 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 42 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 40 |
23 | Morecambe | 40 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 36 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 40 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 31 |
> League Two Full Table |