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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Grimsby Town

Wrexham
3 - 0
Grimsby Town

Palmer (21'), Boyle (31'), Lee (79')
McClean (6'), Lee (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Conteh (39'), Maher (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 9 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 1-0 Grimsby Town

 Wrexham have been in good form, winning their last three games in all competitions, and they are unbeaten at home since the opening day of the season. On the other hand, Grimsby Town are yet to pick up a win away from home this season, so we think the hosts will take all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawGrimsby Town
59.68% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 20.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 19.4% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.68% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.055 0.05)39.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.33% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.67% (-0.058 -0.06)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (0.019999999999996 0.02)39.21% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.062000000000012 0.06)33.82% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.066999999999997 0.07)70.48% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 59.68%
    Grimsby Town 19.4%
    Draw 20.92%
WrexhamDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 59.68%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.92%
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.4%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Grimsby Town

Wrexham
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Grimsby Town
30.0%
10
Head to Head
May 28, 2022 12.30pm
Wrexham
4-5
Grimsby Town
Mullin (13' pen., 65'), Tozer (63'), Davies (80')
Tozer (45+3'), Young (98'), Palmer (105')
McAtee (15'), Waterfall (47', 119'), Taylor (72'), Dieseruvwe (78')
Amos (24'), Waterfall (28'), Taylor (36')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Wrexham
1-0
Grimsby Town
Palmer (35')
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Grimsby Town
3-1
Wrexham
Taylor (27'), Waterfall (34'), Wright (90')
Sousa (60'), Clifton (66')
Hyde (22')
Redmond (25'), French (49')
Mar 26, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Wrexham
Disley (7')
Tait (46'), Hoban (89'), Clay (92')

Jennings (45')
Sep 22, 2015 7.45pm
Wrexham
0-0
Grimsby Town
Evans (25')
Gowling (31'), Monkhouse (36'), Disley (60')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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