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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Grimsby Town

Wrexham
3 - 0
Grimsby Town

Palmer (21'), Boyle (31'), Lee (79')
McClean (6'), Lee (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Conteh (39'), Maher (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 9 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 1-0 Grimsby Town

 Wrexham have been in good form, winning their last three games in all competitions, and they are unbeaten at home since the opening day of the season. On the other hand, Grimsby Town are yet to pick up a win away from home this season, so we think the hosts will take all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawGrimsby Town
59.68% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 20.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 19.4% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.68% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.055 0.05)39.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.33% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.67% (-0.058 -0.06)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (0.019999999999996 0.02)39.21% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.062000000000012 0.06)33.82% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.066999999999997 0.07)70.48% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 59.68%
    Grimsby Town 19.4%
    Draw 20.92%
WrexhamDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 59.68%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.92%
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.4%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Grimsby Town

Wrexham
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Grimsby Town
30.0%
10
Head to Head
May 28, 2022 12.30pm
Wrexham
4-5
Grimsby Town
Mullin (13' pen., 65'), Tozer (63'), Davies (80')
Tozer (45+3'), Young (98'), Palmer (105')
McAtee (15'), Waterfall (47', 119'), Taylor (72'), Dieseruvwe (78')
Amos (24'), Waterfall (28'), Taylor (36')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Wrexham
1-0
Grimsby Town
Palmer (35')
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Grimsby Town
3-1
Wrexham
Taylor (27'), Waterfall (34'), Wright (90')
Sousa (60'), Clifton (66')
Hyde (22')
Redmond (25'), French (49')
Mar 26, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Wrexham
Disley (7')
Tait (46'), Hoban (89'), Clay (92')

Jennings (45')
Sep 22, 2015 7.45pm
Wrexham
0-0
Grimsby Town
Evans (25')
Gowling (31'), Monkhouse (36'), Disley (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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