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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Salford City

Crewe
4 - 3
Salford City

Agyei (31' pen., 90'), Tabiner (40'), O'Riordan (87')
Finnigan (90+7'), Agyei (90+1'), Finnigan (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Barry (19'), Hendry (45'), Mallan (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Salford City

While Crewe have picked up four points from their last four home games, Salford have accumulated the same number of points from their last four away matches, and a closely-fought contest between the two sides could be on the cards on Friday. Nevertheless, Salford will be regarded as favourites to come out on top, and they should have enough quality in the final third to breach Crewe's backline to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
24.77% (-0.367 -0.37) 25.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 50.09% (0.425 0.42)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (-0.055 -0.05)51.4% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)35.54% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (-0.36 -0.36)72.31% (0.357 0.36)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.155 0.16)20.53% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (0.247 0.25)53.03% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 24.77%
    Salford City 50.09%
    Draw 25.13%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.77%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.15% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 50.09%

How you voted: Crewe vs Salford City

Crewe Alexandra
26.9%
Draw
19.2%
Salford City
53.8%
26
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Salford City
3-0
Crewe
McAleny (17'), Thomas-Asante (50', 53')
Nartey (14'), Watt (44')

Mellor (29'), Baker-Richardson (90+2')
Sambou (31')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Salford City
3-1
Crewe
Towell (7'), Thomas-Asante (12'), Wintle (85' og.)
Jones (14'), Neal (40'), Touray (44')
Ng (82')
Powell (45')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Crewe
4-1
Salford City
Porter (50'), Lowery (57', 82'), Pickering (62')
Rooney (39')
Hughes (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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