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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Salford City

Crewe
4 - 3
Salford City

Agyei (31' pen., 90'), Tabiner (40'), O'Riordan (87')
Finnigan (90+7'), Agyei (90+1'), Finnigan (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Barry (19'), Hendry (45'), Mallan (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Salford City

 While Crewe have picked up four points from their last four home games, Salford have accumulated the same number of points from their last four away matches, and a closely-fought contest between the two sides could be on the cards on Friday. Nevertheless, Salford will be regarded as favourites to come out on top, and they should have enough quality in the final third to breach Crewe's backline to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
24.77% (-0.367 -0.37) 25.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 50.09% (0.425 0.42)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (-0.055 -0.05)51.4% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)73.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)35.54% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (-0.36 -0.36)72.31% (0.357 0.36)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.155 0.16)20.53% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (0.247 0.25)53.03% (-0.248 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 24.77%
    Salford City 50.09%
    Draw 25.13%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.77%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.15% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 50.09%

How you voted: Crewe vs Salford City

Crewe Alexandra
26.9%
Draw
19.2%
Salford City
53.8%
26
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Salford City
3-0
Crewe
McAleny (17'), Thomas-Asante (50', 53')
Nartey (14'), Watt (44')

Mellor (29'), Baker-Richardson (90+2')
Sambou (31')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Salford City
3-1
Crewe
Towell (7'), Thomas-Asante (12'), Wintle (85' og.)
Jones (14'), Neal (40'), Touray (44')
Ng (82')
Powell (45')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Crewe
4-1
Salford City
Porter (50'), Lowery (57', 82'), Pickering (62')
Rooney (39')
Hughes (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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