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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Hartlepool United |
33.45% ( -0.47) | 27.21% ( -0) | 39.34% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% ( -0.07) | 55.46% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% ( -0.05) | 76.65% ( 0.05) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( -0.34) | 31.11% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( -0.4) | 67.43% ( 0.4) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.49% ( 0.23) | 27.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.98% ( 0.3) | 63.02% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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