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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
48.24% ( 1.22) | 26.73% ( -0.31) | 25.03% ( -0.9) |
Both teams to score 46.84% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.76% ( 0.53) | 57.24% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.91% ( 0.42) | 78.09% ( -0.42) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% ( 0.81) | 23.79% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% ( 1.15) | 57.95% ( -1.14) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( -0.5) | 38.54% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.72% ( -0.48) | 75.28% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.55% Total : 25.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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