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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
41.05% ( -0.35) | 25.62% ( 0.06) | 33.32% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.02% ( -0.19) | 48.97% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.94% ( -0.18) | 71.06% ( 0.17) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( -0.26) | 23.64% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% ( -0.38) | 57.73% ( 0.37) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 0.09) | 27.98% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% ( 0.11) | 63.62% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |